Rural fire authorities use indices of fire weather and fire danger to
assess current conditions, and also to anticipate future fire risk.
This report describes and evaluates a forecast system that extends the
lead-time at which forecasts of fire weather indices are available to
beyond day-7. The forecasts are based on a statistical approach that
matches patterns in how computer models see the weather around New
Zealand, to patterns in the observed weather at individual sites around
the country.